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Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Guide to our 2020 outlook
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We see a big shift in the macro environment in the year ahead – as the dovish monetary policy pivot of 2019 fades as a market driver. We detail these views in our 2020 Global outlook.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Taking stock of our 2019 views
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In 2019 the key drivers of global markets have been trade tensions and central bank easing, in our view. We were early to see that a protectionist push would hurt the industrial cycle and business investment — a key reason for our global growth downgrade. And we were correct to say that government bonds would play a crucial role as ballast during equity sell-offs even at low yields. But we did not see such a strong and persistent flight to safety and the unusual synchronized easing pivot from central banks at this advanced stage in the expansion.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Washington Update: Mike Bloomberg and the Self-Funded Presidential Campaign
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Former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg officially entered the Democratic presidential primary last week, and it didn’t take long for his opponents to react. Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) criticized the fact that Bloomberg, who is worth an estimated $54 billion, plans to self-finance his campaign.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Washington Update: The President v. The Supreme Court
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If you think a potential federal government shutdown is the only potential calamity barreling down on Washington, D.C., think again.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Washington Update: Could Antitrust Slay Tech?
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It has been a difficult year for major tech companies. To demonstrate, consider what the news and polling firm Morning Consult wrote in June 2017: Google and Facebook “are enjoying high favorability ratings among U.S. consumers …”
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Washington Update: Baseball, the War on Terror, and Public Polling
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Eighteen years ago this week, in the wake of the Sept. 11, 2001 terrorist attacks against his city, Rudy Giuliani’s approval ratings stood at an incredible 79 percent. He was dubbed “America’s Mayor,” appeared on Saturday Night Live, and was named by Time as its “Person of the Year” in 2001.