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Manager & Investment Selection
MONEYBALL INVESTING: THE REAL REASON SWINGING FOR THE FENCES IS BAD FOR YOUR PORTFOLIO
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One of the more iconic scenes in the movie, Moneyball, involves the baseball scouts discussing various players’ abilities. They note a player’s “classy” swing and then move on to his girlfriend’s looks for an assessment of his in-game proficiency. It’s both darkly humorous and a sly indictment of the flawed mechanics by which scouts judge players.
Investing Ideas
THE ARITHMETIC OF ASYMMETRY
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Anyone who has played a casual game of darts, say, at a bar or in the basement, knows an overarching rule of the game: it gets harder as it progresses. While rule systems vary, most games start with a wide-open board full of possibilities. But then, by the end, you’re aiming for the Double 18 and only the Double 18 to win. In short, it’s a game of precision that seems easy at first but becomes very, very hard by the end.
Market Outlooks
FAQ: What Does Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine Mean for the Market?
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Mounting tensions between Russia and Ukraine resulted in a Russian invasion into Ukraine sovereign territory in February. We continue to monitor events and their impact on asset classes closely. As our conditions and our views evolve, we offer our perspective on the market’s response.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
What are the Secondary Effects of the War? The Dreaded “Triple R”
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Fears of the dreaded “triple R” are growing—encompassing a recession, rising rates, and a loss in real household incomes. It is a dangerous time for investors, especially for those that draw a straight line from economic events to portfolio changes. We must be intentional and focused on our goals, including understanding what was already priced in and managing any risks to our convictions.
Market Outlooks
Russia & Ukraine: Our Investment Research Views
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The rapid escalation between Russia and Ukraine has dramatically shifted investor sentiment. We are witnessing a meaningful setback in key financial markets, prompting volatility and negative speculation. This is normal amid uncertainty, but it is worth stepping back to understand the fundamentals of the situation.
Market Outlooks
In 2022, Don't Predict. Prepare.
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Volatility, the rise and fall of prices, is inevitable. We aim to judiciously compound returns and avoid permanent capital impairment. We don’t predict. We invest.
Market Outlooks
2022 Outlook: 2 x 2 Investing Grid from Our Investment Experts
This insight has been created to highlight the most important issues facing investors, share insights from our current research, and help you make better investment decisions as we enter 2022. It has been compiled by our investment leaders and draws on the work of our global team.