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Market Outlooks
Earmarks Make A Comeback
We look at the return of earmarks and how each party feels about it.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Women’s History Month and the March Towards Political Parity
In celebration of Women's History Month, we take a look at the rising women in politics. This year has been monumental for women in power and the women of history who paved the way.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
The Big Battle Of 2021: Godzilla Vs Kong, Or The Market Vs The Fed?
Last week, as the stock market came under pressure, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell testified to Congress that the Fed could, and would, remain exceptionally accommodative on the monetary policy front.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Buying Low and Selling High is Preferred
This piece is approved to use with clients.
The historically low yields of 2020 forced many income-seeking investors to take on additional risk. First, they may have increased their duration exposure to capture the higher yields offered by longer-dated maturities. Or secondly, they may have migrated to “riskier” assets such as high yield corporate bonds as fiscal and monetary policy aimed to stimulate economic growth.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: The Low Yield Environment and Corporate Credit Trends
This piece is approved to use with clients.
Outside of the oil crises, U.S. real yields have never been lower and global negative yield debt reached a record $18.38 trillion on 12/11/20, and as of Tuesday, 2/16/21 stands at $14.74 trillion. The U.S. 10-year Treasury real yield hit an all-time low on 8/6/20 at -1.08% and again on 1/4/21. It now stands at -1.04%. The previous low was in December 2012 at -0.92%.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
A Stronger CFPB Is Soon Likely
The U.S. Senate Banking Committee will hold a hearing next week to consider the nomination of Rohit Chopra, President Joe Biden’s choice to lead the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB)
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Municipals Do Their Best Tortoise Impression and Play Catch Up
This piece is approved to use with clients.
Slow and steady wins the race, or so says Aesop. After playing the post-COVID investment grade laggard for the majority of 2020, the municipal market’s consistent slow-paced nature has them playing catch up through the first 25 trading days of 2021. While municipals enjoyed a healthy 5.21% year-to-date return for 2020, that was still behind U.S. Treasuries by 279 bps (basis points) as well as U.S. Investment Grade Corporates by a staggering 468 bps.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Will Minimum Wage Sink COVID Relief?
Next week could bring the first major test of the durability of Democrats’ advantage in Washington. A House of Representatives vote on President Joe Biden’s $1.9 trillion coronavirus spending package will indicate whether the party’s one-seat advantage in the Senate and its four-seat majority in the House is enough to get major legislation passed.