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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
What are the Secondary Effects of the War? The Dreaded “Triple R”
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Fears of the dreaded “triple R” are growing—encompassing a recession, rising rates, and a loss in real household incomes. It is a dangerous time for investors, especially for those that draw a straight line from economic events to portfolio changes. We must be intentional and focused on our goals, including understanding what was already priced in and managing any risks to our convictions.
Market Outlooks
Russia & Ukraine: Our Investment Research Views
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The rapid escalation between Russia and Ukraine has dramatically shifted investor sentiment. We are witnessing a meaningful setback in key financial markets, prompting volatility and negative speculation. This is normal amid uncertainty, but it is worth stepping back to understand the fundamentals of the situation.
Market Outlooks
In 2022, Don't Predict. Prepare.
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Volatility, the rise and fall of prices, is inevitable. We aim to judiciously compound returns and avoid permanent capital impairment. We don’t predict. We invest.
Investing Ideas
What is a Stock Worth?
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Implications for Equity Investing at Historic Valuations
Fixed Income Insights
The Dire Outlook for Bonds in the Wake of COVID-19
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This brief update revisits the main tenets of “The Bleak Future of Bonds” paper and provides updates to some key numbers in the aftermath of the COVID-19/coronavirus crisis and what this means for portfolio construction going forward.
Fixed Income Insights
Save Should Not Mean Sacrifice
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Portfolio Manager Nick Maroutsos believes that capital preservation and attractive risk-adjusted returns are not mutually exclusive despite zero-interest rate policy across much of the developed world.
Market Outlooks
Accelerating Growth for 2021?
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Portfolio Manager Nick Schommer discusses his outlook for an accelerating and broadening economic recovery in 2021.