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Market Outlooks
Anatomy of a Recession: The Lagged Effects of Rate Hikes have Started
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A review of the US economy with Jeff Schulze, investment strategist at ClearBridge Investments, focusing on the most anticipated recession in history. Is it here? What signs are beginning to appear? And how deep will it be?
Market Outlooks
Anatomy of a Recession Update: The dominoes are falling
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ClearBridge Investments: The Recession Risk Dashboard saw three negative signal changes this month, suggesting a significant downshift in the economy.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Treasury yields fall, awaiting a last Fed hike
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U.S. Treasury yields fell amid mixed U.S. economic data ahead of this week’s U.S. Federal Reserve meeting.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: Opportunities for when the Fed’s recession knocks
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This anticipated environment of interest rate stability could (we hope and expect) create attractive opportunities in the taxable fixed income arena. In particular, we favor spread sectors that offer compelling yields that should avoid excessive spread widening — even during the mild recession we anticipate will occur later in 2023.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Treasury yields continue their climb higher
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U.S. Treasury yields rose again on stronger economic data in the U.S. In addition, inflation in the UK also surprised substantially to the upside, pushing global developed market bond yields higher.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: When rates are steady, munis will be ready
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Across the municipal bond landscape, we prefer pairing credit risk with duration risk.
Market Outlooks
Quarterly taxable fixed income outlook: Rates, risk and recession
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Outlook on the quarter ahead from Anders Persson and Tony Rodriguez.