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Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: The US and China lead the economic recovery, while fears of another virus wave grow in Brazil and India.
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Last week was a shortened holiday week for many, and some are coming back to the office after spring vacations. Here is a brief recap of the key things you may missed last week.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Israel may provide a preview of what’s to come in the US and UK — and in any country that achieves broad vaccine distribution.
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A month ago, I wrote about the great progress Israel was making in terms of inoculating its citizens against COVID-19. At the time, I said that we would want to follow economic data in Israel closely for indications of what the US and UK could expect in the near future — as they are making swift progress in vaccinating their respective populations — as well as what any country can expect once it successfully vaccinates a significant portion of its population.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Investors may be grateful for the Fed’s easy money, but they’re also wary about what might come next.
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If you had to quickly describe the relationship status between investors and the Federal Reserve, your best bet might simply be: “It’s complicated.”
Market Outlooks
South Korean Stocks: Has the Luster Faded After a Strong Finish to 2020?
Gareth Lyons and Nabil Salem discuss the somewhat unusual South Korean stock market--unusual in that, this tech-dominated market remained attractively priced until recently. Lyons and Salem review the recent valuation history of this market, analyze drivers of outperformance in 2020, and summarize their current views on South Korea as an asset allocation opportunity.
Behavioral Finance
Rules as Tools: Using Heuristics to Help Empower Financial Success
People often use simple mental shortcuts, also called heuristics, when they make everyday decisions. But can these rules of thumb improve financial well-being? We studied commonly used rules of thumb in four financial categories (saving, spending, investing, and debt management).
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: The economy may not truly turn the page until spring
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It might be 2021, but it doesn’t feel like a new year in many parts of the world. We haven’t yet turned the page on all the difficulties of the past year, so it seems like we are stuck in 2020. Or as my colleague aptly put it, this is just Dec. 49, 2020.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Seven reasons I expect a powerful US economic recovery in 2021.
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I periodically walk into stores to get a sense of how the US economy is doing. This past weekend I walked into a car dealership in my area. I chatted with a car salesman who has worked in the industry for more than 50 years. He shared that this is a very strange economic environment — car purchases have increased (he had already sold four cars that day), but so have the number of people stopping by to see if there are any job openings, who say they’ve been out of work for six or nine months.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Stocks were hit last week in the face of inflation fears, but I believe it was a temporary adjustment to a rise in rates.
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Last week was what I would call a “Rip Van Winkle” week. Set in the colonial days of America, Rip Van Winkle is the story of a man who, sick of his wife, decides to go for a hike in the mountains with his dog. He meets a group of strange men who offer him an unusual drink, causing him to fall asleep.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: As Israel leads the way in COVID-19 vaccinations, events such as concerts and theater performances return after an 11-month ban
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When I was in business school back in the late 1990s, I found that one of the most heavily used — and effective — teaching tools was the case study. Learning from what other companies and industries did or didn’t do was incredibly helpful in gaining understanding and insight.
Market Outlooks
Finding Balance After a Significant Q4 Rebound
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Philip Straehl, Gloabl Head of Research for Morningstar Investment Management LLC, gives our take on where asset class valuations stand, after the market volatility of 2020. He also covers the global aggregate reward-for-risk picture, and our outlook on major asset classes.