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Behavioral Finance
Direct Indexing and the IKEA Effect
This piece is approved to use with clients.
The “IKEA effect” describes a cognitive bias that happens when people put in some form of labor to complete a project or finish a creation. Direct indexing won’t solve the behavior gap, but it has the potential to create better investor behaviors by allowing investors to play a larger role in the portfolio-building process.
Market Outlooks
Sleeping at Night? Consider Adding an Absolute Return Strategy
Perhaps the most concerning issue for multi-asset investors as we turn to 2023 is diversification—or the lack thereof in recent times. And while this is not the first time that the “traditional” correlation between U.S. Treasuries and equity markets has broken down—people tend to pay less attention when both are producing positive returns—it has been one of the worst years on record for the total return of a 60/40 portfolio in 2022.Herein lies the merits of discussing an absolute return approach with clients.
Market Outlooks
Global Convictions: January 2023 Asset Class Research
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Heading into 2023, bearish sentiment among investors is coming off a very low base, with some of the worst recorded data since tracking started 35 years ago. With a contrarian lens, this could be a positive. However, while the overall valuation landscape has undoubtedly improved, there are many assets which remain around fair value. In such an environment, we continue to balance opportunities against risks.
Market Outlooks
2023 Outlook: Inflation, Recession, Valuations, and Retirement
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What are the positive client messages we can share leading into 2023? With inflation and a recession on everyone’s minds, what actions make sense to support clients? Morningstar Investment Management’s Americas CIO Marta Norton and Head of Research Philip Straehl share their perspective on the outlook, address the implications on client portfolios, and look at potential actions to be taken.
Behavioral Finance
Market Perspective: There are No Rewards Without Risk
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2022 reminded investors of the risk from investing, but none of this makes losses palatable. As the old axiom goes, “there are no rewards without risk.” Here's perspective from Marta Norton, CIO, Americas, Morningstar Investment Management LLC.
Fixed Income Insights
US core fixed income: Better positioned going into 2023?
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Greg Wilensky, Head of U.S. Fixed Income, discusses his 2023 investment outlook, including the opportunities and risks he sees in U.S. core fixed income as we head into the new year.
Investing Ideas
The forecasters were right
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Just how good an indicator of future performance are earnings predictions? Portfolio Manager Aneet Chachra considers the historical value of forecasts, and questions whether investors can use them to help guide their investment decisions, as we look ahead to 2023.