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Market Outlooks
What the S&P 500 Index Rebalance Means for Investors and Index Managers
We analyze the additions, deletions and weighting changes of S&P 500 companies in one of the largest rebalances in years
Market Outlooks
Central Banks in US, England and Japan Hold Rates, US Government Shutdown Looms
Stocks stumble as the Fed leaned toward higher rates for longer in last week’s meeting. The market impact from government shutdowns historically has been limited.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Treasury yields rise again on stronger inflation data
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U.S. Treasury yields rose again after U.S. consumer price inflation surprised marginally to the upside. The European Central Bank (ECB) delivered a dovish hike last week, and all eyes are on the U.S. Federal Reserve this week.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: Expanding the horizons of your equity portfolio
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Within non-U.S. developed equities, Japan and the U.K. are two markets where compelling valuations and, in our view, easy-to-beat growth expectations are setting up a strong backdrop.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Seizing new regime opportunities
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We see the new regime of greater volatility playing out: higher interest rates, stagnating activity and structural forces set to push inflation back up. Flip-flops in the market narrative make that clear.
Market Outlooks
Student of the Market: September 2023
Stay on top of the changing market environments by learning from their historical parallels.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Economic data drive Treasury yields higher
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U.S. Treasury yields rose once again, as U.S. economic growth remains strong. U.S. Federal Reserve officials indicated that monetary policy is sufficiently restrictive, while emphasizing the need to monitor incoming data.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: A durable case for duration
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One way to do this is by adding to investment grade corporate bonds, which have relatively longer durations than the broader fixed income market. They are also currently yielding close to 6%, and defaults are expected to remain low.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: New regime fuels narrative flip flops
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We‘re in an unprecedented macro environment that is driving constant shifts in the market narrative: from hopes of avoiding recession to fears good macro news could be bad for markets in just a few months. We see the market moving with data as if we’re in a normal business cycle.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Favoring short-term bonds long term
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Sovereign bond yields have surged this year, with U.S. long-term yields hitting 16-year highs last month. We prefer short-term government bonds over credit. We go underweight high quality credit on a strategic view of five years and longer and trim our overall underweight to sovereign bonds.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Treasury yields rise as the Fed leans hawkish
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U.S. Treasury yields rose again as U.S. economic growth remains strong and U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Powell delivered hawkish comments at the Jackson Hole conference.