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Policy and Regulatory Commentary
The rotation in stocks may not be over
Small caps, value, and non-US stocks may continue to benefit from Fed policy.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Downgrading government bonds
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We broaden our tactical pro-risk stance in light of major developments since the publication of our 2021 outlook in December: the vaccine rollout and up to $2.8 trillion of additional U.S. fiscal spending this year. Inflation expectations have risen sharply while real rates are steady in negative territory. We prefer equity over credit and turn underweight government bonds – in line with our strategic views.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Fiscal boost is not a market risk – yet
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The prospect of another large U.S. fiscal package has fed debates about potential economic overheating. We believe central banks for now have strong incentives to lean against any rapid rise in nominal yields even as inflation rises, supporting our tactically pro-risk stance. Yet rising debt levels may eventually pose risks to the low-rate regime. This is part of why we strategically underweight government debt.
Investing Ideas
SPACs explained
Frequently asked questions about special purpose acquisition companies.
Market Outlooks
Global Markets Weekly Update: February 8, 2021
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Review the performance of global stock and bond markets over the past week, along with relevant insights from T. Rowe Price economists and investment professionals.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Why we favor tech and healthcare
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The pandemic has turbocharged transformations that were already under way – from sustainability to inequality. Yet markets have not fully priced in the durability of these trends, we believe, even with the glimpse into the future offered by the pandemic.
Market Outlooks
What to do about interest rates in 2021
See how historically low rates impact your wallet now.
Market Outlooks
Chart of the week: Adding fuel to the stock fire
Although the "meme stocks" have been dominating the news with their meteoric rise, don’t forget that the entire US market is at all-time highs.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Valuation: not a worry for now
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Equity valuations have been top of mind after major stock indexes have scaled new highs. Last week’s volatile market moves as a result of technical deleveraging added fuel to these concerns. We do not see risk asset valuations as obviously stretched overall, and expect low interest rates – and a vaccine-led restart – to support risk assets over the next six to 12 months.