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Policy and Regulatory Commentary
The (presumed) policy implications of 11/3/2020
While we won’t know for sure which party will control the US Senate through 2022 until Georgia decides both of its US Senate elections via a January 5, 2021 runoff, we are comfortable assuming the United States will face a divided government the next two years, with a Democrat in the White House, a Democrat-led House of Representatives, and a Republican-led Senate.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Election 2020: Déjà Vu All Over Again?
While voting in the seemingly endless 2020 election is finally over, it was clear by President Donald Trump’s early morning East Room speech that there is still a whole lot of electioneering going on.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Wire: For the market, an unpleasant, but not unexpected, September and October
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We just closed the books on a tough two months for the market, with the S&P 500 Index (S&P 500) off 3.8% in September and off 2.8% in October.
Market Outlooks
For the market, an unpleasant, but not unexpected, September and October
We just closed the books on a tough two months for the market, with the S&P 500 Index (S&P 500) off 3.8% in September and off 2.8% in October.
Market Outlooks
Applying Behavioral Finance in Emotionally Charged Times | A 2-Part Webinar Series
Applying Behavioral Finance in Emotionally Charged Times | A 2-Part Webinar Series
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
One Week Out, Comparing 2016 To 2020
On Nov. 6, 2016, two days before the last presidential election, Politico reporter Katelyn Fossett outlined the 16 worst political predictions of that year.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Wire: Something worth paying attention to other than the election
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What – other than the election – should be commanding investor attention these days? Our vote would be the bond market. To help put politics and the bond market in the same neat little box, we turn to renowned political consultant James Carville, who in the early 1990s said, “I used to think that if there was reincarnation, I wanted to come back as the president or the pope or a .400 baseball hitter.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Ballot Initiatives: Buyer Beware
While early voting lines might be much longer this year (multiple news outlets reported massive waits in Florida on Monday, for example, where it was the first day of early voting), voters’ actual ballots could be much shorter.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Wire: When it comes to the election, what is the market “pricing in?”
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Investors pay attention to the stock market not just because they are investing in it, but because they consider the market one of – if not the most – accurate of all leading indicators. Said differently, the market, in its infinite wisdom, will lead the real economy and will tell us where the world is headed.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
The Fate of the Filibuster
The hearings for U.S. Supreme Court nominee Amy Coney Barrett have almost concluded and it is likely the Senate Judiciary Committee will vote to approve her nomination later today.