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Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Our views on Chinese assets
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Chinese stocks have sold off on concerns that China could tighten monetary and fiscal policy more aggressively – after having led the global restart and policy normalization. This took place as rising U.S. Treasury yields have pressured global risk assets.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: A strong restart, not a recovery
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We see the path out of the Covid-19 shock as a “restart” – not a typical business cycle “recovery.” The key reasons are the distinct nature of the shock, broad-based pent-up demand and different inflation dynamics.
Market Outlooks
Student of the Market: March Edition
Stay on top of changing market environments by learning from their historical parallels.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Leaning further into cyclicality
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The UK has led the developed world in the pace of its vaccine rollout, with the euro area set to catch up after a slower start. Vaccine rollouts and fiscal spending are paving the way for an accelerated global restart, reflected in a recent rise in real rates. This supports a broadening of the cyclical tilt in our tactical views, with our recent debut of a UK equities overweight and upgrading euro equities to neutral.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Climate transition: a driver of returns
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We are incorporating the effects of climate change – and of the climate transition – in our return assumptions, as we believe avoiding climate-related damages will help drive growth and improve returns for risk assets. We see climate-resilient sectors as potential beneficiaries of a “green” transition, and are strategically overweight DM equities as they are skewed toward these sectors.
Market Outlooks
Finding Balance After a Significant Q4 Rebound
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Philip Straehl, Gloabl Head of Research for Morningstar Investment Management LLC, gives our take on where asset class valuations stand, after the market volatility of 2020. He also covers the global aggregate reward-for-risk picture, and our outlook on major asset classes.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Downgrading government bonds
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We broaden our tactical pro-risk stance in light of major developments since the publication of our 2021 outlook in December: the vaccine rollout and up to $2.8 trillion of additional U.S. fiscal spending this year. Inflation expectations have risen sharply while real rates are steady in negative territory. We prefer equity over credit and turn underweight government bonds – in line with our strategic views.