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Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Downgrading government bonds
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We broaden our tactical pro-risk stance in light of major developments since the publication of our 2021 outlook in December: the vaccine rollout and up to $2.8 trillion of additional U.S. fiscal spending this year. Inflation expectations have risen sharply while real rates are steady in negative territory. We prefer equity over credit and turn underweight government bonds – in line with our strategic views.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Fiscal boost is not a market risk – yet
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The prospect of another large U.S. fiscal package has fed debates about potential economic overheating. We believe central banks for now have strong incentives to lean against any rapid rise in nominal yields even as inflation rises, supporting our tactically pro-risk stance. Yet rising debt levels may eventually pose risks to the low-rate regime. This is part of why we strategically underweight government debt.
Behavioral Finance
GameStop, Reddit, and Robinhood vs. Investing for the Long Run
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Expecting massive, short-term stock price increases is speculation, not investing. At Morningstar Investment Management LLC, we believe recent investing behavior, perhaps exacerbated and amplified by social media, is concerning. Here's why we think this behavior highlights the value of working with an investment professional for sound, long-term financial planning.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Why we favor tech and healthcare
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The pandemic has turbocharged transformations that were already under way – from sustainability to inequality. Yet markets have not fully priced in the durability of these trends, we believe, even with the glimpse into the future offered by the pandemic.
Goals/Needs-Based Investing
Outcome-Based Investing Guide
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When investors focus too closely on investment performance, they can lose sight of their goals and instead focus myopically on beating the benchmark. Enter Outcome-Based strategies, which seek to provide investment outcomes that fit the profile of common investment goals. That way you can match your portfolio’s outcomes with your goals. Here's our overview of how Outcome-Based Investing can fit within your financial planning.
Retirement
Income Comparison: Two Approaches for Retirement
Retirees have different needs from their portfolios, so you might expect a portfolio’s investment strategy to be aligned with those needs. Although the income approach isn’t always preferred, new research shows it can be a viable alternative to a total return approach.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Valuation: not a worry for now
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Equity valuations have been top of mind after major stock indexes have scaled new highs. Last week’s volatile market moves as a result of technical deleveraging added fuel to these concerns. We do not see risk asset valuations as obviously stretched overall, and expect low interest rates – and a vaccine-led restart – to support risk assets over the next six to 12 months.