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Market Outlooks
Stress testing the foundations: Analyzing the vulnerability of US banks to falling commercial real estate values
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The commercial real estate sector’s continued challenges could potentially impact US banks. Franklin Templeton Fixed Income’s Shawn Lyons discusses the ongoing commercial real estate crisis and how US banks are safeguarding themselves against these issues.
Market Outlooks
A broadening opportunity set
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Our investment teams across asset classes share where they see investment opportunities in our latest Global Investment Outlook. Today, we see a much broader opportunity set across asset classes and regions, and the outlook over the remainder of this year (and into 2024) appears favorable for balanced portfolios.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Finding new opportunities as Q4 starts
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Markets are adjusting to the new regime of greater volatility and higher interest rates.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Yields surge as new regime plays out
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Yields on benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasuries last week briefly rose to 16-year highs above 4.50% as major central banks paused rate hikes but left the door open for more.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Seizing new regime opportunities
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We see the new regime of greater volatility playing out: higher interest rates, stagnating activity and structural forces set to push inflation back up. Flip-flops in the market narrative make that clear.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: New regime fuels narrative flip flops
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We‘re in an unprecedented macro environment that is driving constant shifts in the market narrative: from hopes of avoiding recession to fears good macro news could be bad for markets in just a few months. We see the market moving with data as if we’re in a normal business cycle.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Favoring short-term bonds long term
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Sovereign bond yields have surged this year, with U.S. long-term yields hitting 16-year highs last month. We prefer short-term government bonds over credit. We go underweight high quality credit on a strategic view of five years and longer and trim our overall underweight to sovereign bonds.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Anatomy of a Recession Update: Cracks in the Foundation
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Get perspective on the most recent US economic data, the investor’s view, and how reviewing previous recessionary periods may help us today, in this conversation with Jeff Schulze, Head of Economic and Market Research at ClearBridge Investments.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Three takeaways from U.S. earnings
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U.S. corporate earnings have stagnated over the past year even as Q2 earnings improved a bit on better profit margins.