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Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: U.S. inflation miss leaves Treasury yields mixed
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Long-end U.S. Treasury yields rose again, though front-end yields fell on softer-than-expected inflation numbers.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: Don’t shrink from the Fed’s balance sheet runoff
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What a difference five years makes. Today’s backdrop for balance sheet reduction bears little resemblance to the last time the Fed initiated QT in September 2017.
Manager & Investment Selection
MONEYBALL INVESTING: THE REAL REASON SWINGING FOR THE FENCES IS BAD FOR YOUR PORTFOLIO
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One of the more iconic scenes in the movie, Moneyball, involves the baseball scouts discussing various players’ abilities. They note a player’s “classy” swing and then move on to his girlfriend’s looks for an assessment of his in-game proficiency. It’s both darkly humorous and a sly indictment of the flawed mechanics by which scouts judge players.
Investing Ideas
THE ARITHMETIC OF ASYMMETRY
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Anyone who has played a casual game of darts, say, at a bar or in the basement, knows an overarching rule of the game: it gets harder as it progresses. While rule systems vary, most games start with a wide-open board full of possibilities. But then, by the end, you’re aiming for the Double 18 and only the Double 18 to win. In short, it’s a game of precision that seems easy at first but becomes very, very hard by the end.
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: Treasury yields rise on hawkish Fed rhetoric
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Long-end U.S. Treasury yields rose again amid hawkish comments from Federal Reserve (Fed) officials signaling balance sheet runoff to start next month.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: Market turmoil shines a light on 60/40 conundrum
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History has not repeated. Comparing the 2022 market correction to history, the glaring difference is the performance of traditional fixed income.