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Market Outlooks
Silicon Valley Bank Collapse
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The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) over the weekend, the biggest bank failure in U.S. history after Washington Mutual in 2008, seemingly caught both regulators and markets off guard, and triggered fears of contagion across the global banking sector. In response, on Sunday night (March 12), U.S. policymakers (the Treasury Department, the Federal Reserve, and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation) announced emergency measures to shore up the U.S. banking system.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Corporate earnings: Growth clouds have arrived
While many macro signals have already triggered current recessionary conditions in some pockets of the economy, the 4Q22 inversion of the 3m10y Treasury yield curve means that investors need to prepare portfolios for the volatile period that is likely ahead.
Market Outlooks
Anatomy of a Recession Update: Soft Landing Head Fake or the Real McCoy?
ClearBridge Investments continue to believe a recession is more likely than a soft landing, given many of these data points are lagging or coincident in nature.
Market Outlooks
Anatomy of a Recession: Economic and Market Outlook Flyer - March 2023
ClearBridge Investments utilizes 12 different economic indicators to assess the risk of recession. Each individual indicator can signal expansion, caution or recession in the economy...
Market Outlooks
Anatomy of a Recession Update: Headwind, Not a Hurricane
While the housing market has been on the leading edge of the current downturn, the threat of higher interest rates will likely be somewhat muted as borrowers shift away from adjustable-rate mortgages.