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Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Seven reasons I expect a powerful US economic recovery in 2021.
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I periodically walk into stores to get a sense of how the US economy is doing. This past weekend I walked into a car dealership in my area. I chatted with a car salesman who has worked in the industry for more than 50 years. He shared that this is a very strange economic environment — car purchases have increased (he had already sold four cars that day), but so have the number of people stopping by to see if there are any job openings, who say they’ve been out of work for six or nine months.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Stocks were hit last week in the face of inflation fears, but I believe it was a temporary adjustment to a rise in rates.
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Last week was what I would call a “Rip Van Winkle” week. Set in the colonial days of America, Rip Van Winkle is the story of a man who, sick of his wife, decides to go for a hike in the mountains with his dog. He meets a group of strange men who offer him an unusual drink, causing him to fall asleep.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: As Israel leads the way in COVID-19 vaccinations, events such as concerts and theater performances return after an 11-month ban
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When I was in business school back in the late 1990s, I found that one of the most heavily used — and effective — teaching tools was the case study. Learning from what other companies and industries did or didn’t do was incredibly helpful in gaining understanding and insight.
Market Outlooks
Finding Balance After a Significant Q4 Rebound
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Philip Straehl, Gloabl Head of Research for Morningstar Investment Management LLC, gives our take on where asset class valuations stand, after the market volatility of 2020. He also covers the global aggregate reward-for-risk picture, and our outlook on major asset classes.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Bitcoin has gained credibility over the past three years, but I believe its use as a currency, a diversifier or an inflation hedge is a bit off the mark.
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The last time I wrote about bitcoin was back in December 2017. Back then there was a lot of excitement around bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies because both the Chicago Board Options Exchange and CME Group had begun offering bitcoin futures. Investors were excited about this opportunity, sending up the price of a single bitcoin thousands of dollars higher over the several previous weeks.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: As we enter a new lunar year, the Fed reiterates its stance on inflation and stimulus.
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We have just begun a new lunar year — the Year of the Ox. I think we are all happy to have said goodbye to the Year of the Rat — although I suppose we should have known this last lunar year was going to be bad because the Year of the Rat is traditionally considered to be a year of turbulence in which change or disaster can happen. Interestingly, the rat and the ox have an unusual relationship.
Behavioral Finance
GameStop, Reddit, and Robinhood vs. Investing for the Long Run
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Expecting massive, short-term stock price increases is speculation, not investing. At Morningstar Investment Management LLC, we believe recent investing behavior, perhaps exacerbated and amplified by social media, is concerning. Here's why we think this behavior highlights the value of working with an investment professional for sound, long-term financial planning.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Has "irrational exuberance" gotten the better of markets?
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Well, let me try to answer that question based on my own experience. I entered the financial services industry in late 1995, a bright-eyed and eager runaway from the practice of law. Not soon afterward, I listened intently to a historic speech by then-Federal Reserve Chair Alan Greenspan, who suggested that the stock market was exhibiting “irrational exuberance.
Goals/Needs-Based Investing
Outcome-Based Investing Guide
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When investors focus too closely on investment performance, they can lose sight of their goals and instead focus myopically on beating the benchmark. Enter Outcome-Based strategies, which seek to provide investment outcomes that fit the profile of common investment goals. That way you can match your portfolio’s outcomes with your goals. Here's our overview of how Outcome-Based Investing can fit within your financial planning.