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Market Outlooks
Outlook 2023: Better Than Feared
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As we look out to 2023, the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) has reached its “neutral” monetary policy stance, and the European Central Bank (ECB) is not far behind. Europe has moved fast to secure fossil fuel supply away from Russia, even at higher—but stable—prices. U.S. consumer price inflation is moderating. Asynchronous reopening, with China’s consumers set to rejoin the post-COVID economy, is likely to mean more inflation volatility next year.
Market Outlooks
8 Reasons for Optimism in U.S. Stocks
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Around the world, economies are slowing, with some developed markets likely already in recession, thanks in no small part to tightening monetary policies. Nowhere is this more apparent than in the United States, where the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) has moved more aggressively than in any other rate-rising period since the 1970s.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Can the Current Debt Limit Crisis Be Solved?
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The U.S. government hit its statutory debt limit last week. No need to panic yet — the Treasury Department is undertaking “extraordinary measures” that will keep the United States from defaulting on its obligations for a few months.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Quick Thoughts: How to avoid making a unicorn skeleton
Curated content for RIAs.
Stephen Dover, Head of Franklin Templeton Institute, crunches the data to decipher the odds of a US recession this year and the implications for investor portfolios.
Fixed Income Insights
Making Sense of Different Signals
Curated content for RIAs.
The Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions team explains why high-yield bonds and equities look bearish in the short-term but bullish over the long-term. In this article, they provide their rationale behind these opposing views.
Market Outlooks
On My Mind: Transitory tightening?
Curated content for RIAs.
Does the latest US data confirm the battle against inflation has already been won? Franklin Templeton Fixed Income CIO Sonal Desai says markets are overly optimistic.