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Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Climate transition: a driver of returns
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We are incorporating the effects of climate change – and of the climate transition – in our return assumptions, as we believe avoiding climate-related damages will help drive growth and improve returns for risk assets. We see climate-resilient sectors as potential beneficiaries of a “green” transition, and are strategically overweight DM equities as they are skewed toward these sectors.
Market Outlooks
Finding Balance After a Significant Q4 Rebound
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Philip Straehl, Gloabl Head of Research for Morningstar Investment Management LLC, gives our take on where asset class valuations stand, after the market volatility of 2020. He also covers the global aggregate reward-for-risk picture, and our outlook on major asset classes.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Downgrading government bonds
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We broaden our tactical pro-risk stance in light of major developments since the publication of our 2021 outlook in December: the vaccine rollout and up to $2.8 trillion of additional U.S. fiscal spending this year. Inflation expectations have risen sharply while real rates are steady in negative territory. We prefer equity over credit and turn underweight government bonds – in line with our strategic views.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Fiscal boost is not a market risk – yet
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The prospect of another large U.S. fiscal package has fed debates about potential economic overheating. We believe central banks for now have strong incentives to lean against any rapid rise in nominal yields even as inflation rises, supporting our tactically pro-risk stance. Yet rising debt levels may eventually pose risks to the low-rate regime. This is part of why we strategically underweight government debt.
Behavioral Finance
GameStop, Reddit, and Robinhood vs. Investing for the Long Run
This piece is approved to use with clients.
Expecting massive, short-term stock price increases is speculation, not investing. At Morningstar Investment Management LLC, we believe recent investing behavior, perhaps exacerbated and amplified by social media, is concerning. Here's why we think this behavior highlights the value of working with an investment professional for sound, long-term financial planning.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Why we favor tech and healthcare
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The pandemic has turbocharged transformations that were already under way – from sustainability to inequality. Yet markets have not fully priced in the durability of these trends, we believe, even with the glimpse into the future offered by the pandemic.
Portfolio Construction Insights
5 Lessons From 5 Decades of Asset Allocation
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At Morningstar Investment Management, our asset allocation approach has drawn on our research spanning five decades. Some lessons have stood the test of time and continue to inform our thinking today. We unpack five key lessons that we believe are vital to be a great asset allocator today.