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Market Outlooks
2023 Outlook: Inflation, Recession, Valuations, and Retirement
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What are the positive client messages we can share leading into 2023? With inflation and a recession on everyone’s minds, what actions make sense to support clients? Morningstar Investment Management’s Americas CIO Marta Norton and Head of Research Philip Straehl share their perspective on the outlook, address the implications on client portfolios, and look at potential actions to be taken.
Portfolio Construction Insights
Focus on Equities: Uncertainty and Volatility Create Opportunity
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Individual stock prices move around much more frequently than business value. At Morningstar Investment Management, we embrace stock price volatility as it provides opportunities to improve our portfolios. We are more optimistic about the long-term outcomes for our portfolios today than we were at the start of 2022. Here's why.
Behavioral Finance
Market Perspective: There are No Rewards Without Risk
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2022 reminded investors of the risk from investing, but none of this makes losses palatable. As the old axiom goes, “there are no rewards without risk.” Here's perspective from Marta Norton, CIO, Americas, Morningstar Investment Management LLC.
Market Outlooks
A Ripe Environment for Value Valuations
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As investors who employ a bottom-up process when seeking quality companies, we’re intrigued with the growing valuation discount between our portfolios and their respective indices. We find it compelling that today we can purchase a higher-quality portfolio for a discounted price relative to the index, creating an attractive entry point for our actively managed small- to mid-cap value strategies. But before we get to that, let’s take a step back and look at how we got here.
Market Outlooks
Lessons From a Chaotic Year
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Olga and Hugo review their predictions and explore what surprised them in 2022, focusing on gross domestic product (GDP), interest rates, earnings growth, energy prices, and the dollar.
Fixed Income Insights
US core fixed income: Better positioned going into 2023?
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Greg Wilensky, Head of U.S. Fixed Income, discusses his 2023 investment outlook, including the opportunities and risks he sees in U.S. core fixed income as we head into the new year.
Investing Ideas
The forecasters were right
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Just how good an indicator of future performance are earnings predictions? Portfolio Manager Aneet Chachra considers the historical value of forecasts, and questions whether investors can use them to help guide their investment decisions, as we look ahead to 2023.