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Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Economic Indicators Suggest President Trump's Reelection
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In testimony on Capitol Hill this week, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell repeatedly praised the strength of the U.S. economy across multiple indicators. He pointed to an historically-low unemployment rate, rising wages, and continual, moderate overall growth. Powell has a notably turbulent relationship with President Donald Trump, but his assessment should have been music to the ears of top White House and Trump campaign officials (even if the president could not help live-Tweeting his criticism of Powell’s testimony). The economy, after all, is historically perhaps the most reliable presidential election indicator.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Wire: The Coronavirus: History may not repeat, but it does rhyme
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By their nature, exogenous shocks are impossible to model for – we simply don’t know when to expect the unexpected. As exogenous shocks occur, investors will understandably seek to discern their ultimate impact on the economy and the stock market.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Wire: Our “20/20 vision”
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To say investors have had a few things vying for their attention these past few weeks might be the understatement of our brand new year. Consider that so far in January we have seen the market consistently hit all-time highs; the US and Iran approach the brink of war; the Phase 1 US/China trade agreement signed; the “New NAFTA” or USMCA pass the Senate, and that same Senate launch the impeachment trial of President Trump.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Wire: The US, Iran, oil, and the economy... Where do we go from here?
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We have been asked often what we think of US/Iranian hostilities, including how that dynamic might develop and how it might impact the economy. Truth be told, an investment professional should be reluctant to opine on any budding global conflict since discerning the direction it will take is notoriously difficult and it is a bit unseemly to speak of economic growth and financial assets while our troops are in harm’s way.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Wire: Vlog: Quarter-end Q&A 4Q2019
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Tim Holland, CFA, asks and answers those questions we think will be top of mind for clients as they open their quarterly statements and think back on the quarter that was:
Market Outlooks
Weekly Wire: Top 10 blog posts of 2019
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From market perspectives with the weekly wire to behavioral finance and technology insights, these are our top 10 blog posts of 2019.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Is America Ready for an All-Female Presidential Ticket?
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At a recent town hall event in Charleston, S.C.—the state that will hold, in just three months, the fourth nominating contest in the Democratic presidential primary contest—an attendee asked Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) whether Americans are “ready” for an all-female presidential ticket.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
An Impeachment Primer
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Moments ago, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.), flanked by the chairs of the committees of jurisdiction over the House’s impeachment inquiry over the last several months (Oversight, Intelligence, Ways and Means, Financial Services, and Judiciary) announced her intention to have the House consider two articles of impeachment against President Trump. I thought I’d provide a quick primer on what’s happened this morning and what we can expect in the days and weeks ahead.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Wire: Small Caps have been packing a punch, and that could be big for the market
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One needn’t be a fan of Ant-Man and The Wasp to appreciate small things can pack a powerful punch. As it is with superheroes, so it is with stocks.