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Equity Outlook: Bracing for an Economic Slowdown
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Spiking inflation, rising interest rates and growing fears of a US recession dominated global equity markets in the second quarter. While the outlook is very cloudy, it’s important to evaluate what types of strategies can help investors in an economic downturn.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Energy shock spurs Europe's recession
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The energy crunch will drive a recession in Europe, as we’ve argued since March. The crisis has worsened since then as Russia has halted gas supplies.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Recession looms as regime takes root
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We’ve argued for a while that we’re in a new macro regime. Central bankers at the recent Jackson Hole forum started to recognize this reality.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Caution: earnings under pressure
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We see company earnings deteriorating amid a rotation in consumer spending and a sputtering restart. This is partly why we remain cautious on stocks.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Why we like credit over equities
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We prefer investment grade (IG) credit over equities on a tactical horizon as we see a new market regime with higher volatility taking shape.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Beware behavioral bias in new regime
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Investors are strapped in for a market rollercoaster in a new regime of increased volatility. Views on central bank rates are shuffling fast, as last week’s market reaction to the Fed’s rate hike showed.