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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
3 Points About China
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Clamping down on China has become a bipartisan effort in the United States, but I believe an outright conflict between China and Taiwan is a low-probability (albeit high-impact) event—and I remain constructive on the bottom-up, long-term investment opportunities in China, including the transition to a domestic-consumption-driven and lower-carbon economy.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
The Active Share: Are Microchips the New Oil?
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Microchips are the building blocks of the modern economy, but what are the geopolitical implications of this new power player?
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Financial Stability, the Super Bowl, and Cryptocurrency
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If you watched the Super Bowl last weekend, you enjoyed a great game (unless you’re an Eagles fan.) But did you notice the one thing that was missing? That’s right: cryptocurrency ads.
Market Outlooks
Recapping last night’s somewhat contentious State of the Union Address.
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Let’s examine the general mood of the country going into last night’s speech - and going into the Biden reelection campaign.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Washington Update: Some Hope for Bipartisanship
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With House Speaker Kevin McCarthy slated to meet with President Biden, Washington is fully immersed in debt ceiling drama.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
PodCast: Episode 34: Revenge of the Old Economy
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Low interest rates and a focus on being green led to significant underinvestment in the old economy. Netflix rose and Exxon fell. But we’re now beginning a rotation away from the new economy back to the old, says Jeff Currie, global head of commodities research at Goldman Sachs. In this episode of The Active Share, Jeff tells Hugo how he sees the future of energy, from green tech to oil, from the east to the west—who will win, who will lose, and how investors can prepare.