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Policy and Regulatory Commentary
What Does Current Polling Say About November?
In a normal presidential election year, June headlines would be filled with speculation about who the White House challenger will pick as a running mate
Market Outlooks
Trends in Advisor Behavior During Market Volatility - Week of May 26, 2020
Last week was one of the "slowest" weeks of the year in terms of investment activity.
Market Outlooks
What history will COVID-19 write?
The COVID-19 pandemic has made history in more ways than one, including catalyzing an economic downturn that cost the US more than 20 million jobs and a policy response that saw the Federal Government pass the $2.1 trillion CARES Act, the largest ever US economic rescue package. That said, we don’t think COVID-19 is finished filling up our history books. We think the long-term consequences of the virus could prove much more meaningful than what we have seen to date.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
The Impact of COVID-19 on State Budgets Will Ripple to the Broader Economy
What type of economic recovery will the U.S. see in the coming months? U, V, or W—or will it be more like a swoosh?
Behavioral Finance
Focused expertise
There have been many restrictions placed on the normal rhythms of life in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. The interactions we typically take for granted such as going to restaurants, spending time with friends, working out at the gym, and traveling on vacation have all been curtailed in an effort to tame the pandemic.
Market Outlooks
Trends in Advisor Behavior During Market Volatility - Week of May 18, 2020
Last week was a return to "normal" for advisor activities. Trading volume was close to the average seen in 2019. Advisors were neutral on risk - more risky and less risky investments were both near net zero in flows.
Market Outlooks
The market as a leading indicator…for the market
We frequently write about the stock market as a leading indicator of the real economy. The idea being
the market will anticipate the economic environment to come, rallying in the face of awful economic news and selling off in the face of constructive economic news.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
How the Federal Reserve is like Spike from Happy Days
As a child of the 70s, I have come to embrace a few, eternal truths: disco should have never died; big collars were a good idea, and the Fonz was the coolest guy who ever lived. Speaking of the Fonz, I am reminded of a Happy Days episode featuring Spike, the Fonz’s nephew, and how that episode and Spike can help us all better understand monetary policy today. Seriously.