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Portfolio Construction Insights
EPISODE #1: AN INTRO TO NEW AGE ALPHA
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There is a risk inside your portfolio that you are unaware of that leads to loss and you don’t get paid for taking it.
Manager & Investment Selection
MONEYBALL INVESTING: THE REAL REASON SWINGING FOR THE FENCES IS BAD FOR YOUR PORTFOLIO
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One of the more iconic scenes in the movie, Moneyball, involves the baseball scouts discussing various players’ abilities. They note a player’s “classy” swing and then move on to his girlfriend’s looks for an assessment of his in-game proficiency. It’s both darkly humorous and a sly indictment of the flawed mechanics by which scouts judge players.
Investing Ideas
THE ARITHMETIC OF ASYMMETRY
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Anyone who has played a casual game of darts, say, at a bar or in the basement, knows an overarching rule of the game: it gets harder as it progresses. While rule systems vary, most games start with a wide-open board full of possibilities. But then, by the end, you’re aiming for the Double 18 and only the Double 18 to win. In short, it’s a game of precision that seems easy at first but becomes very, very hard by the end.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Scarcity inflation raises growth risks
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Scarcity inflation is here. Supply shocks have created shortages of goods, energy and food that are driving up prices.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Impact of the drive for energy security
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The West is trying to wean itself off Russian energy in the wake of the tragic war in Ukraine.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Energy shock, Fed spur new outlook
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Much has changed since our 2022 outlook. The tragic war in Ukraine has resulted in a global energy shock.