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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
A Step Ahead: Everyone's Quitting Their Jobs. Good!
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Olga and Hugo explain why the Great Resignation is the wrong story to describe what’s happening in the U.S. labor market. Job turnover is a welcome sign for the economy, and wage increases for low-income workers can boost economic growth.
Investing Ideas
Factors, Sectors, Countries: Opportunities in Emerging Markets
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As we entered 2022, many emerging markets were already hurting. Let's take a deeper dive into how we're looking at emerging markets in light of higher commodity prices, rising rates, and the war in Ukraine.
Market Outlooks
Before and After: How Ukraine Changed Our Outlook
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Just when we thought the world economy was regaining its footing, a military conflict in Europe has led us to reconsider our outlook for growth and inflation.
Market Outlooks
Tectonic Shifts in the Investing Landscape
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Much like the heat from radioactive processes inside the Earth causes tectonic plates to move—sometimes in one direction and sometimes in another—the dynamic shifting of corporate winners and losers remains a constant.
Market Outlooks
10 Reasons We Still Like Industrials
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As the Ukraine conflict continues and COVID ramps up in parts of the world, it seems like all eyes are focused on supply-chain dynamics and labor shortages, which could, in theory, bode poorly for industrials—but a recent research trip abroad only solidified our view that these stocks are well positioned for growth (and deserve their overweight in our broader global equity portfolios). Here are 10 observations about industrials.
Manager & Investment Selection
MONEYBALL INVESTING: THE REAL REASON SWINGING FOR THE FENCES IS BAD FOR YOUR PORTFOLIO
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One of the more iconic scenes in the movie, Moneyball, involves the baseball scouts discussing various players’ abilities. They note a player’s “classy” swing and then move on to his girlfriend’s looks for an assessment of his in-game proficiency. It’s both darkly humorous and a sly indictment of the flawed mechanics by which scouts judge players.