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Fixed Income Insights
2021 Market GPS: Fixed Income Outlook
Market behaviour in 2020 was all about flows: liquidity flooding the markets, a disease travelling through the population, global supply chains reconfiguring, and technology streaming work and entertainment to the masses. Jim Cielinski, Global Head of Fixed Income at Janus Henderson, explains that fixed income is sensitive to flows, and their direction in 2021 will help determine how the asset class navigates the year ahead.
Behavioral Finance
[Webinar Recording] How to Build Wealth with a Behavioral Approach to Portfolio Construction | Webinar 2
Behavioral finance principles can be applied to an Advisors practice to help clients remain invested and focused on the long-term, while avoiding behavioral mistakes that can destroy their wealth.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
A Team of Rivals? No
“To me it appears evident that an executive ministry composed of men with the qualifications I have described would speedily restore the credit of government abroad and at home, would induce our allies to greater exertions in our behalf, would inspire confidence in monied men in Europe as well as in America to lend us ⟨those⟩ sums of which it may be demonstrated we ⟨stand⟩ in need from the disproportion of our national wealth to the expenses of the War.”
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Congress’ Cup Runeth Over
Last week, we discussed midnight regulations – last-minute rulemakings rushed through federal agencies by departing presidents in the twilights of their terms.
Fixed Income Insights
The Shape of Credit
This piece is approved to use with clients.
In this Q&A, Portfolio Managers Jason England, Nick Maroutsos and Dan Siluk discuss the factors shaping credit markets, from central bank support to potential resilience from financials.
Key Takeaways
- Corporate earnings and cash flows are under strain, but while defaults are likely to increase, they should continue to be largely contained to sub-investment-grade issuers.
- Massive and proactive central bank support measures have injected confidence into markets, but this does not preclude sporadic bouts of future volatility and warrants a selective approach.
- We believe more resilient opportunities are likely to be found in higher-quality, shorter-dated investment-grade issues and continue to favor financial sector bonds and corporates with defensive attributes.
Fixed Income Insights
Building Bond Portfolios on a Strong Housing Market
This piece is approved to use with clients.
Conventional wisdom would suggest that rising unemployment would have discouraged consumers from making large contractual obligations like buying a new home, but the pandemic has affected the way many Americans think about housing. Portfolio Managers John Kerschner and Nick Childs discuss why this is happening and what it could mean for bond investors.
Investing Ideas
Securitized Market Overview
This piece is approved to use with clients.
Securitizations are financial instruments created via the bundling of contractual debts, such as mortgages, or other assets that generate receivables, such as franchise fees. These bundles are then sold to investors, who collect the income from the underlying obligations.
Investing Ideas
Whitepaper: The Case for CLOs
This piece is approved to use with clients.
Key Takeaways
- CLOs offer portfolios of floating-rate bank loans securitized across the rating spectrum. The availability of floating-rate bonds is limited in the U.S., and the choices for high quality floating-rate securities is even more limited, yet around 80% of CLOs carry a credit rating from A to AAA.
- Relative to the investment-grade corporate credit market, CLOs have offered a consistent yield premium across the rating spectrum, in some cases as much as two times the yield offered over U.S. Treasuries.
- In an environment where interest rates are low and the risk of higher Treasury yields has risen, allocations to AAA rated CLOs may help investors diversify a traditional fixed income portfolio, offering lower volatility, higher credit-quality and less sensitivity to any rise in interest rates.
Investing Ideas
A Potential Turning Point in the Battle Against COVID-19
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Delivering better-than-expected trial data, a vaccine candidate from Pfizer and BioNTech could mark the beginning of the end of the pandemic and boost confidence in an economic recovery, now underway.