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Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: The differentiated appeal of EM debt
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Inflation and hawkish central bank talk have spooked investors and led to bond losses not seen since the 1980s in developed markets (DMs).
Fixed Income Insights
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: U.S. inflation miss leaves Treasury yields mixed
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Long-end U.S. Treasury yields rose again, though front-end yields fell on softer-than-expected inflation numbers.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: Don’t shrink from the Fed’s balance sheet runoff
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What a difference five years makes. Today’s backdrop for balance sheet reduction bears little resemblance to the last time the Fed initiated QT in September 2017.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Why we still like stocks as yields spike
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Bond yields have sprinted higher on ballooning inflation and hawkish comments by central banks. Yield spikes have often spelled trouble for stocks, but we believe the past is an imperfect guide in a world shaped by supply shocks.
Investing Ideas
THE ARITHMETIC OF ASYMMETRY
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Anyone who has played a casual game of darts, say, at a bar or in the basement, knows an overarching rule of the game: it gets harder as it progresses. While rule systems vary, most games start with a wide-open board full of possibilities. But then, by the end, you’re aiming for the Double 18 and only the Double 18 to win. In short, it’s a game of precision that seems easy at first but becomes very, very hard by the end.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Scarcity inflation raises growth risks
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Scarcity inflation is here. Supply shocks have created shortages of goods, energy and food that are driving up prices.