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Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Recession – but no central bank rescue
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Central banks confront the growth-inflation trade-off, with the Federal Reserve seeing recession but no rate cuts.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Financial cracks show: What to do now
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The U.S and European bank tumult is the latest sign rapid rate hikes are causing financial cracks, reinforcing our recession view.
Market Outlooks
AOR Update: Bank crisis recalibrates the Fed’s path
The evolution of risks to financial stability will be a key factor into the Fed’s near-term thinking above and beyond their goal of achieving the dual mandate of price stability and maximum employment.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Earnings expectations look too high
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Stocks are starting to reflect the economic damage of rate hikes.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Recession Resistance: Can We Prove That Recessions Don't Matter?
Increasingly, investors seem focused on the potential for a recession. In this webcast, we discuss...
Fixed Income Insights
Return of the Bond Market: Better Income Opportunities?
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Most investors incorporate bonds into a portfolio to provide diversification. Unfortunately, a smoother return path has not held true in recent years. But now the market has recalibrated, and yields have reset higher. Higher yields mean higher future returns. And for the first time in a while, you can make the argument that bonds provide true competition to stocks.
Behavioral Finance
Direct Indexing and the IKEA Effect
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The “IKEA effect” describes a cognitive bias that happens when people put in some form of labor to complete a project or finish a creation. Direct indexing won’t solve the behavior gap, but it has the potential to create better investor behaviors by allowing investors to play a larger role in the portfolio-building process.