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Market Outlooks
Strategas Insight: Here’s to Ten More Years
Throughout the second half of last year, we highlighted a growing concern over the double-barreled risk of potential policy errors on both monetary and trade fronts. Indeed, data in 1Q2019 has softened.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Valuation Brief - Size, Sector, and Style
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Since the 4th quarter sell off, equity markets have come back with a vengeance. The S&P 500 is up 13.11% year to date (as of 3/15/19), while the S&P 400 is up 14.39%, and S&P 600 is up 12.42%. With such a rally already on the books, I want to hone in on where we still see some value.
Investing Ideas
Navigating Change in China
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Barings’ Global Head of Equities, Ghadir Cooper, assesses the transformation of China’s economy, and explains why investors should be encouraged by the country’s decisive policy actions.
Fixed Income Insights
The Potential Benefits of Global Senior Secured Loans
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In the current environment, senior secured loans are gaining traction for their potential to offer a blend of attractive yield and protection against both credit and interest rate risk.
Market Outlooks
Market Week in Review: Right-side up again? The latest on the U.S. Treasury yield curve
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On the latest edition of Market Week in Review, Senior Investment Strategist Paul Eitelman and Research Analyst Brian Yadao discussed the recent U.S. Treasury yield-curve inversion, progress in trade talks between the U.S. and China and the latest Brexit developments.
Market Outlooks
From Curve Inversion to Value Conclusion?
The hot topic of the week is the inversion of certain yield curve metrics as evidenced by the near hyperbolic increase in web searches for “recession” and “yield curve.” We have written about the curve’s inversion over the last 18 months and why the broad market interpretation may be a bit skewed today than it has in the past, with a few highlighted here.
Market Outlooks
It seems the jobs market has been drinking a bit of JOLT
Every month, the Bureau of Labor Statistics compiles the Jobs Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (i.e. JOLTS). The JOLTS program queries 16,000 private nonfarm businesses and government entities in the 50 states and the District of Columbia on timely employment topics, including job openings, hires, and layoffs.
Market Outlooks
Yield Curve Inverts: Now What?
On Friday of last week, the yield curve finally inverted ever so slightly, but does it mean a recession is on the horizon?
Market Outlooks
Weekly Fixed Income Commentary: A dovish Fed drives Treasury yields lower
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U.S. Treasury yields declined sharply last week, led by 5-year maturities. Dovish comments from the Federal Reserve (Fed) fueled a move lower on Wednesday. Risk-off sentiment continued on Friday due to disappointing economic data out of Europe. The spread between the 10-year Treasury and the 3-month T-bill yields inverted, indicating a higher risk of recession over the next 12 months.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Economic Problems in Europe and China Are Real – So Are The Opportunities
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Two of our high conviction best ideas for 2019 include Emerging Markets and Europe. After a dismal year for global equity markets in 2018, both markets have gotten off to a great start in 2019 roughly keeping pace with the United States. According to Bloomberg, year to date through March 15, Emerging Markets (as measured by the MSCI Emerging Markets Index) is up an impressive 9.73% while the S&P 500 outpaces being up 12.8%. Europe (as measured by the Eurostoxx 50) is up a respectable 12.87%. What should we expect for the balance of the year?