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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
China: Reopening Should Drive Growth
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After a year of anemic growth—by China’s standards—we expect a recovery in Chinese economic activity to gradually take place in 2023. The government has abandoned its zero-COVID policy and re-pivoted to growth, and the reopening, combined with a benign inflationary environment that gives China’s policymakers room to increase stimulus, we believe is a reason for optimism in 2023. That said, major policy questions and geopolitical risks cloud the outlook.
Market Outlooks
Outlook 2023: Better Than Feared
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As we look out to 2023, the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) has reached its “neutral” monetary policy stance, and the European Central Bank (ECB) is not far behind. Europe has moved fast to secure fossil fuel supply away from Russia, even at higher—but stable—prices. U.S. consumer price inflation is moderating. Asynchronous reopening, with China’s consumers set to rejoin the post-COVID economy, is likely to mean more inflation volatility next year.
Market Outlooks
8 Reasons for Optimism in U.S. Stocks
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Around the world, economies are slowing, with some developed markets likely already in recession, thanks in no small part to tightening monetary policies. Nowhere is this more apparent than in the United States, where the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) has moved more aggressively than in any other rate-rising period since the 1970s.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Higher rates reinforce income’s appeal
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Major central banks are set to hike policy rates again this week and keep them higher, counter to market views for cuts this year.
Market Outlooks
Market Week in Review: Bank of Canada announces pause in rate hikes
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Market Week in Review is a weekly market update on global investment news in a quick five-minute video format. It gives you easy access to some of our top investment strategists.
Market Outlooks
2023 Outlook: A Pivotal Year - On-Demand Webinar
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New year, new market challenges. Join our Chief Investment Strategist for North America Chris Shipley for our take on what investors can expect in 2023.