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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
China: Reopening Should Drive Growth
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After a year of anemic growth—by China’s standards—we expect a recovery in Chinese economic activity to gradually take place in 2023. The government has abandoned its zero-COVID policy and re-pivoted to growth, and the reopening, combined with a benign inflationary environment that gives China’s policymakers room to increase stimulus, we believe is a reason for optimism in 2023. That said, major policy questions and geopolitical risks cloud the outlook.
Portfolio Construction Insights
Focus on Equities: Uncertainty and Volatility Create Opportunity
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Individual stock prices move around much more frequently than business value. At Morningstar Investment Management, we embrace stock price volatility as it provides opportunities to improve our portfolios. We are more optimistic about the long-term outcomes for our portfolios today than we were at the start of 2022. Here's why.
Personalization
An Inside Look at Direct Indexing
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Direct indexing is becoming a key addition to financial advisors’ toolkits. It provides the ability to tailor an index, like removing a stock or even industry, which can bring the fun back to investing and help with after-tax outcomes.So, what’s all the fuss about? What are the salient points you need to know? Who’s it right for? And what are the thorny issues to weigh?
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Anatomy of a Recession: Economic and Market Views, December 2022
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ClearBridge Investments’ Jeff Schulze discusses what is going on with home sales, corporate profits and labor.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Anatomy of a Recession: Is Labor Market Economic Kevlar or Achilles Heel?
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ClearBridge Investments: While the labor market remains an economic bright spot, the Federal Reserve (Fed) may continue its tightening policy until more signs emerge that job growth and wages are experiencing substantial slowdowns.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
The End of the World As We Know It
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There’s no debating that we’re in tumultuous times, but who’s coming out ahead and who will be left behind? We asked geopolitical strategist Peter Zeihan...