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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
AOR Update: When to expect a recession?
ClearBridge Investments: Despite improving economic sentiment now leaning the consensus view toward a soft landing, we continue to believe a recession is on the horizon.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Anatomy of a Recession: Economic and Market Outlook 3Q 2023 | August 1st
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ClearBridge Investments, one of Franklin Templeton’s specialist investment managers, utilizes 12 different economic indicators to assess the risk of recession.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Recession indicators: Delayed, not dismissed
Quick takes on capital markets
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
May CPI report: Inflation deceleration paves the way for a policy pause in June
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However, core inflation is proving significantly stickier and remains above 5%...
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
June FOMC meeting: A very hawkish pause
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Market response.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Debt limit deal: The aftermath
With inflation remaining sticky and the labor market proving extremely resilient, a further policy rate hike is likely from here, while a rate cut this year is almost certainly not in the cards.