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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
China: Reopening Should Drive Growth
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After a year of anemic growth—by China’s standards—we expect a recovery in Chinese economic activity to gradually take place in 2023. The government has abandoned its zero-COVID policy and re-pivoted to growth, and the reopening, combined with a benign inflationary environment that gives China’s policymakers room to increase stimulus, we believe is a reason for optimism in 2023. That said, major policy questions and geopolitical risks cloud the outlook.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Can the Current Debt Limit Crisis Be Solved?
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The U.S. government hit its statutory debt limit last week. No need to panic yet — the Treasury Department is undertaking “extraordinary measures” that will keep the United States from defaulting on its obligations for a few months.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Quick Thoughts: How to avoid making a unicorn skeleton
Curated content for RIAs.
Stephen Dover, Head of Franklin Templeton Institute, crunches the data to decipher the odds of a US recession this year and the implications for investor portfolios.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Investment Perspective: A Narrowed Path
Two roads diverged in a central bank wood – and the Fed took the one less dovish.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
House Chaos a Preview of What’s to Come
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Let’s take a look at what happened, and what it could mean for the ability of Congress to shape federal policy — or get anything done — over the next two years.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Anatomy of a Recession: Economic and Market Views, December 2022
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ClearBridge Investments’ Jeff Schulze discusses what is going on with home sales, corporate profits and labor.