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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
What's Driving U.S. Dollar Strength
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As of mid-October, the U.S. dollar was trading at levels not seen since the early 2000s, when the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed), under then-chairman Alan Greenspan, was raising interest rates to respond to a rapidly growing economy. In the past year, the U.S. dollar index, which compares the dollar with a basket of currencies, has risen more than 20%, the largest 12-month increase since 2015.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
A Step Ahead: Everyone's Quitting Their Jobs. Good!
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Olga and Hugo explain why the Great Resignation is the wrong story to describe what’s happening in the U.S. labor market. Job turnover is a welcome sign for the economy, and wage increases for low-income workers can boost economic growth.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
The Big Battle Of 2021: Godzilla Vs Kong, Or The Market Vs The Fed?
Last week, as the stock market came under pressure, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell testified to Congress that the Fed could, and would, remain exceptionally accommodative on the monetary policy front.
Fixed Income Insights
“No Jules, It’s High-Yield Bonds”
If you think back on Wall Street in the ‘80s, a few things come to mind: the ‘87 Crash (the S&P 500 was up that year), a secular bull market, interest rates in the teens, the movie Wall Street, corporate raiders and junk bonds.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
We’ve got Georgia on our minds
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When one thinks of the great state of Georgia, one often thinks of the classic tune, “Georgia On My Mind,” and the late, great Ray Charles, who first recorded it in 1960
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
The (presumed) policy implications of 11/3/2020
While we won’t know for sure which party will control the US Senate through 2022 until Georgia decides both of its US Senate elections via a January 5, 2021 runoff, we are comfortable assuming the United States will face a divided government the next two years, with a Democrat in the White House, a Democrat-led House of Representatives, and a Republican-led Senate.
Fixed Income Insights
CLOs: A Bias Toward Quality
CLOs continued their rebound in the third quarter, but the potential for volatility going forward is high. In this environment, there may be benefits to moving up in quality.
Fixed Income Insights
High Yield: Halfway There?
The shock was the story in the first quarter, the stimulus was the story in the second—but we’re decidedly not yet in the post-COVID era, and the path to economic recovery remains unclear. What does that mean for high yield?
Fixed Income Insights
EMD: A Strong Tailwind, But Risks on the Horizon
Segments of the EM debt market have been bright spots in fixed income this year. Will EMs outperform DMs in the months ahead—or are the risks too great? It may come down to country and credit selection.