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Fixed Income Insights
Global Policy Rates Stuck in Lockdown
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What does the new fixed income environment look like as the global economy slowly starts to rebuild?
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
2020 Midyear Market Outlook: Policy, Politics, and Populism
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While the coronavirus crisis dominated the policy agenda in early 2020, investors will need to monitor a host of other risks in the second half.
Fixed Income Insights
Yield Curve Steepening Likely to Continue
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We expect economic data to improve going into the summer, so we anticipate continued Treasury yield curve steepening.
Fixed Income Insights
Pandemic Pressures Municipal Bond Issuers
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While we expect muni downgrades, the market is likely to remain high quality, with low defaults relative to other bond types.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Troubled Small Business Relief Program a Stopgap Measure
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T. Rowe Price expects additional funding for the Paycheck Protection Program to aid small businesses beyond the July 31 expiration date.
Fixed Income Insights
Securitized Credit May Be Poised to Rebound
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Securitized credit has lagged the rebound in other assets, but T. Rowe Price believes that areas could outperform as the economy reopens.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Consensus Expectations May Be Overestimating the Recovery Trajectory
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T. Rowe Price believes current consensus expectations regarding the coronavirus may be overestimating the trajectory for recovery in the U.S.
Fixed Income Insights
May 2020 Fixed Income Market Update
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In our view, the markets feel much healthier at the end of April than a month ago, but underappreciated in the improved sentiment is not only the scale of March policy action, but its continuation into April. Actions announced in April would ordinarily have remained in headlines and discussion for weeks, but the nearly half trillion dollar U.S. fiscal stimulus package has been treated almost as a footnote to its much larger cousin in March. Similarly, Fed and other central banks not only continued to implement the massive programs initiated last month, but significantly expanded on them.
Fixed Income Insights
Municipal Yields Have Converged
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Over the past several weeks, yields between short- and intermediate-term Municipal Bonds have converged. This may be an opportunity for investors to significantly reduce interest rate risk while sacrificing minimal income since shorter-term bonds typically have less sensitivity to rates.