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Fixed Income Insights
TIPS Attractive Amid Potential for Upside Inflation Surprise
TIPS are attractive because inflation could exceed the widely anticipated increase in consumer prices later in 2021.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Will Minimum Wage Sink COVID Relief?
Next week could bring the first major test of the durability of Democrats’ advantage in Washington. A House of Representatives vote on President Joe Biden’s $1.9 trillion coronavirus spending package will indicate whether the party’s one-seat advantage in the Senate and its four-seat majority in the House is enough to get major legislation passed.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
An Explanation of Reconciliation
Right now, Democrats on various U.S. House and Senate committees are busy putting together their respective pieces of another COVID-19 spending relief package. The price tag for the legislation will be around $1.9 trillion – the amount President Joe Biden outlined when he took office last month.
Fixed Income Insights
CLOs: A Bias Toward Quality
CLOs continued their rebound in the third quarter, but the potential for volatility going forward is high. In this environment, there may be benefits to moving up in quality.
Fixed Income Insights
High Yield: Halfway There?
The shock was the story in the first quarter, the stimulus was the story in the second—but we’re decidedly not yet in the post-COVID era, and the path to economic recovery remains unclear. What does that mean for high yield?
Fixed Income Insights
EMD: A Strong Tailwind, But Risks on the Horizon
Segments of the EM debt market have been bright spots in fixed income this year. Will EMs outperform DMs in the months ahead—or are the risks too great? It may come down to country and credit selection.
Fixed Income Insights
High Yield: Bridging the Gap to a Post-COVID World
What lies ahead for high yield markets? Head of Global Public Fixed Income, Martin Horne weighs in on what the bifurcated asset price recovery, record issuance levels and falling default expectations imply for high yield markets in the months ahead.
Fixed Income Insights
Fed Moves to Average Inflation Targeting
This piece is approved to use with clients.
Fed policymakers will not tighten monetary policy until inflation remains above 2% and job gains are robust.