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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Ready, set...
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Rate normalization is almost a go.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Maybe markets should forget about 'transitory'
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Stubbornly higher inflation doesn't mean the Fed's wrong ... yet.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
The inflation dilemma
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Should the Fed be more concerned?
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Pumpkin spice popcorn ... m'm, m'm, m'm
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The race could tighten but whatever happens, the market should be fine.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Looking forward
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The Fed sharpens its new policy framework with strong forward guidance.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Is there a limit to government spending?
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A growing federal deficit could be concerning if inflation starts to heat up.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
6 reasons yields may stay range-bound
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It starts with the Fed.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Demographics: China's biggest Achilles' heel
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Vulnerabilities emerge at a potential turning point in its relations with the world.
Active/Passive Management
Federated Hermes tilts toward value
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Stock-bond model keeps 2% equity overweight but shifts from growth bias.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Immigrants key drivers of U.S. economy
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Create a safe, legal immigration framework for foreign workers.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
COVID-19 isn’t going away
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Colossal policy responses in the second quarter reassured investors that the U.S. economy can weather the COVID-19 downturn, with a relatively quick return to risk assets pushing the S&P 500® up 20.5% for the period, its best quarter since 1998. After bottoming in March, U.S. stocks rose as much as 44% before the rally stalled a bit over the last few weeks of the quarter. We saw a few signs of hesitation for more policy among lawmakers as indicators improved, but overall both Congress and the Federal Reserve (Fed) remain prepared to do more.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
The U.S.-China relationship in a changing global economy
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An inevitable blame game between the U.S. and China has followed COVID-19, but the crisis has really just extended the “trust deficit” that has been steadily building between the two countries in recent years. Though the “Phase One” agreement between the countries remains intact, it is very fragile and China is turning to a more domestic focus. The U.S.-China relationship, however, remains pivotal for the global economy, and in our mini-forum devoted to the topic, we began with a discussion of the relationship from China’s perspective.