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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Corporate earnings: Growth clouds have arrived
While many macro signals have already triggered current recessionary conditions in some pockets of the economy, the 4Q22 inversion of the 3m10y Treasury yield curve means that investors need to prepare portfolios for the volatile period that is likely ahead.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Investment Strategy Commentary: The X Factor: Evaluating the U.S. Debt Ceiling
A contentious debt ceiling showdown will likely trigger some elevated volatility, but ultimately we expect the U.S. will avert a default.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Investment Perspective: A Narrowed Path
Two roads diverged in a central bank wood – and the Fed took the one less dovish.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Jackson Hole Comments Contribute to Stock Decline, U.S. Jobs Market Expected to Remain Strong
This piece is approved to use with clients.
Investors give about a 65% chance of a 0.75% Fed rate hike in September. The U.S. jobs report on Friday is expected to show 3.5% unemployment and 300,000 jobs added.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
MarketScape: Inflation May Have Peaked, but Uncertainty Looms
This piece is approved to use with clients.
Stocks have rebounded on signs that U.S. inflation may have peaked, but investors face potentially muted returns while the risk of sticky inflation remains.