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Market Outlooks
BMO Market Charts - August 20th, 2020
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The debt-to-GDP ratio of Advanced Economies is unprecedented –2020 debt levels have surpassed the previous high seen during World War Two.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Snapshot: August 14, 2020
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Read the Weekly Market Snapshot to stay up-to-date with stock markets and sectors, bond market returns and financial news for the week.
Market Outlooks
BMO Market Charts - August 17th, 2020
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Over the past five years, the concentration of several equity indices has grown substantially. The weight of the top ten names in the Russell 1000 Growth Index doubled from 22% to 44%.
Market Outlooks
The great disconnect between the economy and the stock market
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We concluded our March quarter Perspectives with the comment: “Let’s just hope we now don’t have a gigantic bounce in share prices fuelled by the central bank injections, pushing them back to bubble levels. Or, are we, once again, being naïve?” Yes, we were being naïve. The bounce occurred and it had nothing to do with investment fundamentals.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
COVID-19 isn’t going away
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Colossal policy responses in the second quarter reassured investors that the U.S. economy can weather the COVID-19 downturn, with a relatively quick return to risk assets pushing the S&P 500® up 20.5% for the period, its best quarter since 1998. After bottoming in March, U.S. stocks rose as much as 44% before the rally stalled a bit over the last few weeks of the quarter. We saw a few signs of hesitation for more policy among lawmakers as indicators improved, but overall both Congress and the Federal Reserve (Fed) remain prepared to do more.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
The U.S.-China relationship in a changing global economy
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An inevitable blame game between the U.S. and China has followed COVID-19, but the crisis has really just extended the “trust deficit” that has been steadily building between the two countries in recent years. Though the “Phase One” agreement between the countries remains intact, it is very fragile and China is turning to a more domestic focus. The U.S.-China relationship, however, remains pivotal for the global economy, and in our mini-forum devoted to the topic, we began with a discussion of the relationship from China’s perspective.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
U.S. presidential election outlook
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As the 2020 election season heats up and President Trump’s odds of winning continue to run cold, we believe it is important to understand the investment implications of a potential change in government versus the status quo. We have outlined the policy implications of the three most likely election outcomes: a Democratic sweep, a Biden presidency with a Republican Senate and a Trump presidency with a Republican Senate. This analysis assumes that Democrats hold the House, which we believe is highly likely.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Snapshot: August 7, 2020
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Read the Weekly Market Snapshot to stay up-to-date with stock markets and sectors, bond market returns and financial news for the week.
Market Outlooks
BMO Market Charts - August 10th, 2020
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Nearly 7,500 companies are on pace to file for bankruptcy protection this year, as businesses struggle to deal with the challenges posed by lockdowns and economic uncertainty
Market Outlooks
BMO Market Charts - August 5th, 2020
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Amid uncertainty surrounding economic conditions and corporate performance, the percentage of S&P 500 companies with EPS off 50% or more from estimates has risen substantially.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Snapshot: July 31, 2020
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Read the Weekly Market Snapshot to stay up-to-date with stock markets and sectors, bond market returns and financial news for the week.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Snapshot: July 24, 2020
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Read the Weekly Market Snapshot to stay up-to-date with stock markets and sectors, bond market returns and financial news for the week.