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Market Outlooks
Global Markets Weekly Update: March 5, 2021
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Review the performance of global stock and bond markets over the past week, along with relevant insights from T. Rowe Price economists and investment professionals.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: A Pessimist's Guide to the Rest of the Year
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The base case is bright in spite of recent market jitters, but we’re watching 10 numbers that would signal a darker turn.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Climate transition: a driver of returns
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We are incorporating the effects of climate change – and of the climate transition – in our return assumptions, as we believe avoiding climate-related damages will help drive growth and improve returns for risk assets. We see climate-resilient sectors as potential beneficiaries of a “green” transition, and are strategically overweight DM equities as they are skewed toward these sectors.
Market Outlooks
Finding Balance After a Significant Q4 Rebound
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Philip Straehl, Gloabl Head of Research for Morningstar Investment Management LLC, gives our take on where asset class valuations stand, after the market volatility of 2020. He also covers the global aggregate reward-for-risk picture, and our outlook on major asset classes.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Who Will Balance the Budgets?
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It’s not today’s problem, but it’s a question investors will start asking more often as the Republican Party confronts its identity crisis.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Downgrading government bonds
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We broaden our tactical pro-risk stance in light of major developments since the publication of our 2021 outlook in December: the vaccine rollout and up to $2.8 trillion of additional U.S. fiscal spending this year. Inflation expectations have risen sharply while real rates are steady in negative territory. We prefer equity over credit and turn underweight government bonds – in line with our strategic views.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: How Will Europe Tackle the Biggest Question of the Year?
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Besides the rollout of vaccines that will save us from life inside four walls, we will know how governments want to handle the bill of the pandemic.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Fiscal boost is not a market risk – yet
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The prospect of another large U.S. fiscal package has fed debates about potential economic overheating. We believe central banks for now have strong incentives to lean against any rapid rise in nominal yields even as inflation rises, supporting our tactically pro-risk stance. Yet rising debt levels may eventually pose risks to the low-rate regime. This is part of why we strategically underweight government debt.