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Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: Fed ready to rein in but not reverse rates
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In the first quarter, our Global Investment Committee upgraded its outlook on emerging markets equity and debt, a view we still hold. Last week’s likely pause in Fed rate hikes could be a catalyst for further weakening of the U.S. dollar, which has already declined about 6% from its October 2022 high relative to EM currencies.
Market Outlooks
Investment Perspective: Approaching Stall Speed
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We favor high yield bonds and natural resource stocks as inflation still shows persistence, earnings expectations deteriorate and worries mount over a stalling U.S. economy.
Market Outlooks
MarketScape: A Fed Pause in June? “An Ongoing Assessment”
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After raising its policy rate again on Wednesday, the Fed may be signaling that it’s ready for a pause. Head of Global Macro for Global Fixed Income Antulio Bomfim, Ph.D., analyzes how the Fed may make its decision and explains what investors should watch for
Market Outlooks
Volatility Faded in April, Fed and ECB Expected to Hike Rates This Week
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Market volatility declined in April as fears about the banking sector subsided. The Fed and ECB likely will look to balance inflation and economic concerns with rate moves.
Market Outlooks
The Fed hikes once more
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Tony Rodriguez summarizes the outcome of the latest U.S. Federal Reserve meeting.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: Opportunities for when the Fed’s recession knocks
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This anticipated environment of interest rate stability could (we hope and expect) create attractive opportunities in the taxable fixed income arena. In particular, we favor spread sectors that offer compelling yields that should avoid excessive spread widening — even during the mild recession we anticipate will occur later in 2023.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Investment Commentary: When rates are steady, munis will be ready
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Across the municipal bond landscape, we prefer pairing credit risk with duration risk.