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Market Outlooks
Trends in Advisor Behavior During Market Volatility - Week of June 1, 2020
Last week was a marked change for advisors with investment activity shifting back to fixed income categories.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Snapshot: May 29, 2020
This piece is approved to use with clients.
Read the Weekly Market Snapshot to stay up-to-date with stock markets and sectors, bond market returns and financial news for the week.
Market Outlooks
Trends in Advisor Behavior During Market Volatility - Week of May 26, 2020
Last week was one of the "slowest" weeks of the year in terms of investment activity.
Market Outlooks
Trends in Advisor Behavior During Market Volatility - Week of May 18, 2020
Last week was a return to "normal" for advisor activities. Trading volume was close to the average seen in 2019. Advisors were neutral on risk - more risky and less risky investments were both near net zero in flows.
Market Outlooks
Replay Market Monitor – Evaluating Opportunities and Risks
Today’s market has eclipsed both the Global Financial Crisis and Tech Bubble in terms of the underperformance of value investing - this call is an opportunity to hear directly from the investment team how BMO interprets these events and reacts to them via proprietary tools and processes.
Market Outlooks
What’s next for China?
This piece is approved to use with clients.
As the first country to tackle COVID-19, China has institutional investors globally wondering about the local situation – and what it means for their portfolios. June Lui, Portfolio Manager, BMO LGM Investments, gives an on-the-ground assessment of China’s economic backdrop and the impact on stocks.
Market Outlooks
The enemy of a major economic slump is debt
This piece is approved to use with clients.
This is a hard commentary to write. The situation is obviously very grave but also extremely fluid and no one has any special or privileged insight as to when a degree of normality may return. All pandemics end but it would be foolish on our part to suggest that it will be over within a few months. What is clear is that the world is tumbling into a serious global recession with significant unemployment. When both supply and demand collapse the end result is obvious and unavoidable. Governments and central banks have thrown several kitchen sinks at the crisis but with a world in lock-down it does little to lift economic activity. Expenses go up but incomes go down.
Market Outlooks
Virus starts with v but ends with u-shaped
This piece is approved to use with clients.
2020 began largely as we expected from an economic perspective, but as the first quarter ended it was difficult even to remember what “normal” economic times looked like, that is, before COVID-19 mushroomed and became a global health crisis.
Before the situation deteriorated in late February, many economists expected the economic effects of the virus to be primarily felt in the first and second quarters with a “v-shaped” recovery to follow. Now many expect a “u-shaped” recovery occurring perhaps by year-end. Economic indicators can lag the headlines, but U.S. unemployment had already begun to spike as the first quarter ended with more to come, likely climbing to double digits as large segments of the economy remain shut down in an effort to contain the virus. We have seen second-quarter annualized GDP estimates ranging from -5% to -30%, but the unprecedented combination of a pandemic and the modern global economy makes this very difficult to call. The numbers will be painful, regardless of the precise magnitude. In terms of the human cost, the pain is already acute.