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Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Why we remain pro-risk
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A powerful economic restart is underway in the U.S. – with Europe and emerging markets (EMs) set to follow. At the same time our new nominal theme has been playing out, with a hefty jump in inflation expectations but a more muted rise in nominal yields. Against this backdrop, we reiterate our pro-risk stance and refine our tactical views in response to adjustments in market pricing and valuations.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Rising rates: good or bad for dividends?
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With interest rates on the move – and consensus believing the trend will continue into 2023 – many investors, especially those searching for income, are grappling with the potential fall-out of rising rates on their portfolios.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Stimulus, household savings, inflation
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The 30,000-foot headline message can read that the stimulus payments to individuals will provide additional monies for essential needs and/or to spend on goods and services that would fuel the recovery of the economy impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic. With significantly more cash in the hands of the consumer/household than before the pandemic, along with the trillions of dollars in government spending, it can be argued that the economy is set up for an inflationary period.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Why we like emerging market assets
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We see the economic restart and greater stability in U.S. government bond yields - as indicated by our new nominal theme - supporting emerging market assets over coming months. Their valuations appear relatively attractive in a world of low yields after a choppy start to the year.
Market Outlooks
Student of the Market: April Edition
Stay on top of changing market environments by learning from their historical parallels.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Municipal markets get a shot in the arm as political tailwinds build
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Q1 2021 started out much the same way as Q1 2020 for US municipal markets, beginning with strong performance early in the year, only to be followed by volatility and a move to the downside.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Commodities rewired
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Oil and industrial metals have rallied since late-2020 on expectations for a swift economic restart, sparking talk of a new commodity “supercycle.” We see a more nuanced outlook – with a divergence across different commodities.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Equity Performance During and After a Period of Rising Interest Rates
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The yield of the 10-year Treasury has risen 80% from the beginning of the year until the time of this writing (3/26/21). This got us wondering where we think we might park our money during a time of rising interest rates, and where to rotate to once they’ve peaked.
Market Outlooks
Global Weekly Commentary: Sustainable investing: it’s a long game
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The powerful economic restart has led to a rally in the traditional energy sector. This has raised concerns that sustainable assets may face pressure after stellar performance in 2020. We view such a short-term focus as misguided. The power of the near-term restart should not be confused with the slow transition to sustainability that we see driving long-term returns.