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Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: I believe a robust, inclusive economic recovery is in the cards
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Happy New Year! No one wants a year in review for 2020, but here is what I learned from the past year: History may not repeat itself, but it sure does rhyme. What we learned from 2020 is a repeat of the lesson we learned from the global financial crisis (GFC): Central banks are very powerful.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Brian Levitt and Talley Léger continue their discussion about what could impact a 2021 economic recovery
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The “recovery” trade is a hot topic of conversation, and so far the trends appear to support that storyline. But it’s important to watch out for blind spots and biases. Recently, we sat down to discuss what we’re seeing in the markets and the questions that could surprise us in 2021.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: I Address nine issues to follow over the next few weeks
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This is the last blog of the year for me. And what a year it has been — one full of loss. Loss of people, first and foremost, and also of businesses. It was just reported the other day that New York icon The 21 Club will be closing for good, the latest of many service-related businesses to sadly fall victim to the pandemic. I think we are all eagerly waiting to close the books on 2020 and looking forward to brighter days in 2021.
Market Outlooks
2021 Market GPS: Equities Outlook
The message to take away from 2020 is that the rules are changing. Traditional fiscal and monetary policy has been replaced by exceptional measures to prop up economies and protect jobs in the face of a global pandemic, while increasingly antagonistic relations between countries have ushered in an era of heightened macro and political uncertainty.
Head of Diversified Alternatives David Elms and Diversified Alternatives Portfolio Managers Steve Cain and Aneet Chachra consider the impact of 2020 on investment markets. They explore some of the areas they are looking at as potential risks (and opportunities) for investors as we move into 2021 and explain why they believe that investors should look beyond traditional investment vehicles for real diversification and volatility mitigation.
Market Outlooks
2021 Market GPS: Diversified Alternatives Outlook
The message to take away from 2020 is that the rules are changing. Traditional fiscal and monetary policy has been replaced by exceptional measures to prop up economies and protect jobs in the face of a global pandemic, while increasingly antagonistic relations between countries have ushered in an era of heightened macro and political uncertainty.
Head of Diversified Alternatives David Elms and Diversified Alternatives Portfolio Managers Steve Cain and Aneet Chachra consider the impact of 2020 on investment markets. They explore some of the areas they are looking at as potential risks (and opportunities) for investors as we move into 2021 and explain why they believe that investors should look beyond traditional investment vehicles for real diversification and volatility mitigation.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: Western economies may get worse before they get better
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While I have never lived in Florida, I have spent enough time there since childhood to be familiar with a weather phenomenon referred to as “the mean season.” It describes a brutal weather pattern that typically occurs in the late summer months.
Portfolio Construction Insights
Portfolio Diagnostics Report: Shifting Gears
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For traditional fixed income investors, much of the last 40 years have been a relatively enjoyable ride; the 1980s began with double-digit interest rates that have steadily fallen, creating large amounts of bond return and income as well as crisis management along the way. Instead of investors paying a premium for portfolio crisis management, traditional fixed income paid investors that premium.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: We present a base case, an upside case, and a downside case for our 2021 global market outlook
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Every year at this time, we issue our global market outlook for the coming year. That exercise is especially complex at this moment — the shape of economic growth in 2021 is dependent on a wide variety of factors, including infection rates, fiscal policy, monetary policy, public health policy (including the severity — or “stringency” — of lockdowns), progress toward the development of COVID-19 therapies and vaccines, and consumer and business confidence.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Market Compass: As we face a challenging Thanksgiving holiday, we highlight reasons to be optimistic about the markets
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It won’t be the Thanksgiving that many of us had envisioned. COVID cases are currently rising at catastrophic rates, and hospitalizations and fatality rates are following in tow. Family plans have been meaningfully altered — I, for one, won’t be attending the Macy’s Thanksgiving Day Parade for the first time in decades.