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Market Outlooks
Vlog: Quarter-end Q&A 1Q2021
Tim Holland, CFA, Chief Investment Officer, asks and answers three top-of-mind questions as investors receive their quarterly statements and reflect on the past quarter.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Municipal markets get a shot in the arm as political tailwinds build
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Q1 2021 started out much the same way as Q1 2020 for US municipal markets, beginning with strong performance early in the year, only to be followed by volatility and a move to the downside.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Equity Performance During and After a Period of Rising Interest Rates
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The yield of the 10-year Treasury has risen 80% from the beginning of the year until the time of this writing (3/26/21). This got us wondering where we think we might park our money during a time of rising interest rates, and where to rotate to once they’ve peaked.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: The Dividend Landscape is Evolving. What you Need to Know.
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As many as 59 companies in the S&P 500 cut or eliminated their dividend in 2020 – yet the index still managed to grow dividends payments 0.44% from a year earlier and set a record payout to investors.
Market Outlooks
Revisiting Our Bear Market Bottom Checklist
After dropping 35% from its February 19, 2020 peak of 3,393, the S&P 500 bottomed out on March 23, 2020 at 2,192, ending a selloff that included the quickest bear market in the history of the index.
Market Outlooks
Forget The Fox…What Do The Dots Say?
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“What does the fox say?” got me thinking about last week’s Federal Reserve meeting and “What do the dots say?”
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Mind The Gap
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The first quarter of 2021 witnessed the continued migration from Growth to Value stocks. The performance gap between Growth and Value (as measured by the corresponding Russell indices) has narrowed significantly. This is something that – albeit expected – is a normal rotation that happens in every economic growth cycle.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Market’s Expanding Leadership Buttressing the Uptrend
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One of the most consistent and enduring qualities in this bull market cycle has been its broad and diverse sector participation.
Market Outlooks
Don’t Call It A Comeback
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Despite a down day Friday, it was a good week for the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite, with the index up more than 3% for the week.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: A Look Back at the One-Year Anniversary of the Municipal Bond Market Selloff of 2020
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As we approach the March Anniversary of the massive short-term sell-off of the Municipal Market, we can’t help but think of how resilient the bond market is and how important the Federal Reserve is for stabilizing our markets.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Buying Low and Selling High is Preferred
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The historically low yields of 2020 forced many income-seeking investors to take on additional risk. First, they may have increased their duration exposure to capture the higher yields offered by longer-dated maturities. Or secondly, they may have migrated to “riskier” assets such as high yield corporate bonds as fiscal and monetary policy aimed to stimulate economic growth.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: The Low Yield Environment and Corporate Credit Trends
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Outside of the oil crises, U.S. real yields have never been lower and global negative yield debt reached a record $18.38 trillion on 12/11/20, and as of Tuesday, 2/16/21 stands at $14.74 trillion. The U.S. 10-year Treasury real yield hit an all-time low on 8/6/20 at -1.08% and again on 1/4/21. It now stands at -1.04%. The previous low was in December 2012 at -0.92%.