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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Debt limit deal: The aftermath
With inflation remaining sticky and the labor market proving extremely resilient, a further policy rate hike is likely from here, while a rate cut this year is almost certainly not in the cards.
Market Outlooks
Is There A Default Playbook?
This piece is approved to use with clients.
In Washington, all attention was focused on the White House yesterday, where congressional leaders met again with President Joe Biden regarding the debt ceiling.
Market Outlooks
The risk of too much consensus
A Q&A with Seema Shah, post-2023 Milken Global Conference
Market Outlooks
The case for emerging market debt: Looking abroad for yield
An active, total return approach may offer yield and diversification benefits while also mitigating risk
Market Outlooks
Navigating market risks and opportunities ahead of a recession
With increasing economic uncertainty and market volatility in the first quarter of 2023, the probability of a mild recession beginning in the second half of the year or early next continues to rise.