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Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Washington Update: Impeachment - A Bust for Legislation, a Boon for Regulation
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Normally, news of a sitting U.S. congressman resigning from office just before he pleads guilty to insider trading charges would consume much of the conversation inside the Beltway. But these, of course, are not normal times.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Washington Update: Based on Presidential Primaries Past, The Democratic Race is Still Wide Open
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Given events in Washington over the last several days, you might be expecting a deep dive into the impeachment process. While we spent some time walking through the intricacies and history of the process in April, there will no doubt be much more to say on the issue in the weeks ahead as events transpire at the Capitol. Today, though, we take a break from Washington for a visit to the campaign trail.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Washington Update: Washington Isn’t Prepared for a Recession
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The Business Roundtable announced this week that, in its latest reading, the organization’s CEO Economic Outlook Index had its biggest quarterly decline in seven years. Business Roundtable President and CEO Joshua Bolton said, “American businesses now have their foot poised above the brake, and they're tapping the brake periodically.”
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Global Monetary Policy: Easing Like Sunday Morning
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In anticipation of the Federal Reserve lowering rates next week at their meeting and the announcement this week that the European Central Bank (ECB) reduced rates to -0.50% and increased their purchasing of bonds a month, we believe it to be worthwhile to look at where we may be headed in policy and market action. Now we may be accused of being a bit presumptive about a future event such as an interest rate cut next week, however, we feel a bit confident in that the market is currently pricing in a 99.9% chance of a rate cut according to the Fed Fund Futures.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Washington Update: What Could A Federal Data Privacy Bill Look Like?
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About a month ago, we advised readers that they should look to the states, rather than Congress, to see substantial progress on data privacy legislation over the next few months.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Is ESG A Magic Green Button?
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Have you read any research on ESG investing recently? If you have, then you’ll know that academic studies continue to stress the positive alpha-generating potential of ESG factors.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Washington Update: What to Expect from Washington this Fall
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Congress returns to Washington next week following an eventful August recess. The country endured growing trade tensions with China, a trio of tragic mass shootings in Texas and California and a catastrophic hurricane, which has wreaked havoc in the Bahamas and now threatens Florida, Georgia and the Carolinas.
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Contrarian Market Signals: What is certain about uncertainty?
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Contrary to narratives bombarding the markets right now, certain indicators are historically very bullish for equity assets. Though the anxiety about the flock of “black swans” being right around the corner helps to mitigate over exuberance, it astonishes me how many times we forget the previous prognostications and make new cases for the failed projection. Recently, I have been reflecting on Mark Twain’s quote: “I've had a lot of worries in my life, most of which never happened.”
Market Outlooks
AAM Viewpoints: Look Beyond the Volatility to Find Return
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Periods of volatility in fixed income and equity markets are nothing new but with each one comes a parade of teeth gnashing and hand wringing by experts extolling the virtues of selected investments while simultaneously predicting events often referred to as being much more dire than those we are experiencing at the moment. It seems, more often than not, that such bold predictions make for good headlines but rarely for investment results.
Policy and Regulatory Commentary
Washington Update: In Washington this Fall, Plenty of Whimpers and a Possible Bang
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In The Hollow Men, poet T.S. Eliot famously said the world would end “not with a bang but with a whimper.”