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Market Outlooks
The bear market goes on…until it doesn’t
When trying to put in perspective the shortest bear market in US history—at least a bear market that saw the S&P 500 Index (S&P 500) sell off 30%+—there are any number of directions one can go.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: A Promising Update on the Vaccine we are All Waiting for
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We believe there is good reason to be optimistic. The global effort to develop a vaccine for COVID-19 has progressed at an incredible speed and is breathtaking when put in the context of vaccine development, which typically takes around a decade.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Taming the Golden Geese (Without Killing Them)
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After rising to the challenge of making lockdowns livable, technology firms and their investors face a trickier future than ever.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Wire: What ails “King Dollar”
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We live in a world where the US dollar dominates – meaning more trade and financial transactions use it and more are held by global central and commercial banks than any other currency.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: How Long Can This Go On?
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There is no good time for a pandemic, but for the U.S. economy there are bad times and there are really bad times.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Wire: 99 days until Election Day
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In 99 days, Americans will choose the next President of the United States. Presidential elections are weighty affairs, heavy with history and allegory, and they serve as a mirror to America – where we think we are, where we think we should be headed, and how we think we should get there.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: ESG in Mining: A Quiet Revolution is Surfacing
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But the advances underway are rapidly making the industry safer, more efficient and more sustainable.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Wire: The market’s wall of worry is daunting, but it’s got nothing on El Capitan
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As we tried these past few months to put a very unusual – and very stressful – market and economic environment in perspective, we leaned on a few bits of timeless Wall Street wisdom, including “Don’t Fight The Fed” and “Don’t Try To Time The Market,” which are ways of reminding ourselves monetary policy is an exceptionally powerful tool for spurring or slowing the economy, and drawdowns and volatility are part and parcel of investing.
Market Outlooks
EMD: Further Room to Run?
Emerging markets debt rallied strongly in the second quarter—and while risks remain ever-present, the asset class may benefit from continued monetary stimulus and the potential for a sharper economic bounce-back in the second half of the year.
Market Outlooks
Investment Grade Credit
Whatever It Takes: After the historic rollercoaster ride IG credit took in the first quarter, U.S. policymakers seem to have won the day, at least for now—with their own version of the phrase made famous by former ECB President Mario Draghi: Whatever it takes.
Market Outlooks
CLOs: Looking Down the Road to Recovery
CLOs rallied in the second quarter as liquidity returned and supply/demand dynamics began to normalize. While opportunities have emerged—particularly in high-rated tranches and new issue BBs—active management is key.
Market Outlooks
High Yield: The Power of Flexibility in Volatile Times
Ample liquidity from central banks has driven a significant recovery across markets, including high yield. But with much uncertainty still ahead, we see benefits to moving up the capital structure and considering secured assets.