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Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Don’t Just Follow The Ball
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Careful investors know to look where no one else is looking. This week is no exception.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Wire: For the market, an unpleasant, but not unexpected, September and October
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We just closed the books on a tough two months for the market, with the S&P 500 Index (S&P 500) off 3.8% in September and off 2.8% in October.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Choosing Trump or Biden
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Investors will benefit from supportive policy under either outcome, but the impact on specific industries is much harder to predict.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Wire: Something worth paying attention to other than the election
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What – other than the election – should be commanding investor attention these days? Our vote would be the bond market. To help put politics and the bond market in the same neat little box, we turn to renowned political consultant James Carville, who in the early 1990s said, “I used to think that if there was reincarnation, I wanted to come back as the president or the pope or a .400 baseball hitter.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Wire: When it comes to the election, what is the market “pricing in?”
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Investors pay attention to the stock market not just because they are investing in it, but because they consider the market one of – if not the most – accurate of all leading indicators. Said differently, the market, in its infinite wisdom, will lead the real economy and will tell us where the world is headed.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: The Pandemic Productivity Shock
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Lockdowns will trigger cost cutting and speed technological innovation, but brace for the political tremors.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Wire: Have we seen this movie before?
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Before we dive into the weekly wire there are two BIG disclaimers we need to address. First, we are not determining which political party bears responsibility for the state of fiscal stimulus negotiations.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Deal or No Deal?
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Several nations around the world await deals, whether it is another fiscal stimulus package or a trade agreement between the U.K. and EU. Global inflation data is likely to remain contained, and U.S. September retail sales are expected to post another modest rise.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Wire: An unsettled world becomes more so
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An unsettled world – a pandemic, a contentious election, a strained political and cultural discourse, unrest in our streets – has become more so with news President Trump and First Lady Melania Trump tested positive for COVID-19.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Wire: Quarter-end Q&A 3Q2020
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Tim Holland, CFA, Global Investment Strategist, asks and answers three top-of-mind questions as investors receive their quarterly statements and reflect on the past quarter:
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: The Biggest Threat to the Global Recovery Lies Beneath This Dome
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Rising acrimony at the U.S. Capital around the Supreme Court vacancy puts stimulus at risk and hurts long-term growth prospects.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Wire: The election, the markets, and the economy: you’ve got questions, we’ve got answers
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While (we hope) the Weekly Wire is timely, relevant, and entertaining, it also tends to be both a bit backwards looking—focused on analyzing and understanding a market or economic event that has happened—with the week’s narrative starting and ending on that particular page. Well, in this edition we are going in a different direction.