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Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
What Is SWIFT and Why Does It Matter?
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What is SWIFT, why is cutting off Russia from the system considered the financial “nuclear option,” and what are the potential outcomes of this action
Market Outlooks
Russia & Ukraine: Our Investment Research Views
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The rapid escalation between Russia and Ukraine has dramatically shifted investor sentiment. We are witnessing a meaningful setback in key financial markets, prompting volatility and negative speculation. This is normal amid uncertainty, but it is worth stepping back to understand the fundamentals of the situation.
Market Outlooks
In 2022, Don't Predict. Prepare.
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Volatility, the rise and fall of prices, is inevitable. We aim to judiciously compound returns and avoid permanent capital impairment. We don’t predict. We invest.
Macroeconomic & Geopolitical
Why Is Everyone in Washington Talking About Jerome Powell?
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Is the chorus loud enough yet for President Biden to dump Powell in favor of another nominee? Let’s take a look.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: Globalization is Still Strong, but Changing
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Global integration has clearly not stopped, but it is changing. Even with the pandemic’s disruption of global supply chains and rising U.S.-China tensions, investors should continue to count on a world that seems to be further integrating, rather than falling apart.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: No Stopping China’s Restocking
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FIFO gives China the global distribution edge across export sectors, even those that fell.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: What Will Kill This Market?
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Something will at some point, but the most plausible downside scenarios still look like a stretch for this year and next.
Market Outlooks
Weekly Macro Update: The Emerging Markets Recovery & The Race Ahead
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With the Fed’s “tapering” clock now officially ticking, many Emerging Markets face an even more urgent challenge to tackle the pandemic.